Ineffective growth strategies
Why growth is a critical problem
- Growth is usually treated as success, but the standard lists ineffective choice or management of a growth strategy as a critical problem — because growth consumes cash before it produces it.
- A business that expands too fast, or in the wrong direction, can be profitable on paper and still fail: it has paid for new premises, stock and staff before the new revenue arrives.
- This is overtrading: growing faster than the business's cash and systems can support.
The growth strategies a business can choose
Selling more of what it already sells (market penetration).
- Same product, same market: more marketing, better distribution, competitive pricing.
- Lowest risk, lowest ceiling — the market is only so big.
New market.
- Same product, new customers: another region, another country, another customer group.
- Risk sits in not knowing the new market — different preferences, different competitors, different regulation.
New product.
- New product, existing customers: extending the range, adding a service.
- Risk sits in development cost and in whether existing customers actually want it.
New product and new market at once.
- The highest risk, because the business is learning two things simultaneously and has no experience to fall back on.
Growing by buying or merging with another business.
- Fast, but expensive, and the two businesses' systems, staff and cultures have to be combined — the point at which most such deals disappoint.
Why growth strategies fail
- Cash runs out. New sites, stock and staff are paid for up front; the revenue arrives over months. The business becomes illiquid while remaining profitable.
- The new market was misjudged. Assumptions were made where research should have been done.
- Management is stretched. The team that ran one site well cannot personally run four, and the systems that worked informally stop working.
- Quality slips. Growth outruns the business's ability to train staff and supervise them, and the reputation that drove the growth is damaged.
- The core business is neglected while attention goes to the new venture — and the profitable original is what was funding everything.
- Diseconomies of scale appear — communication and coordination costs rise faster than revenue.
What a business does about it
- Research before committing — market research in the new market rather than assumptions from the old one.
- Grow in stages, testing one new site, one new product, one new region, and using what is learned before the next step.
- Forecast cash, not just profit, and arrange finance before it is needed rather than during a shortage.
- Build the systems and management depth first — the reason many businesses stall is that they never promoted or hired the second layer of managers.
- Set a decision point in advance: what result, by when, would mean stopping? Deciding that before the money is spent is how a business avoids funding a failure out of pride.
- Retrench if necessary — closing an unsuccessful new site quickly protects the profitable core, which is a legitimate and often correct solution.